Published:  02:27 AM, 06 May 2021 Last Update: 02:41 AM, 06 May 2021

How Karl Marx's predictions came true in today's world

How Karl Marx's predictions came true in today's world
More than one hundred and sixty years ago, at a time when the light bulb was not yet invented, Karl Marx predicted that robots would replace humans in the workplace.

"Once adopted into the production process of capital, the means of labor passes through different metamorphoses, whose culmination is the machine, or rather, an automatic system of machinery," he wrote in his then-unpublished manuscript Fundamentals of Political Economy Criticism. "The workers themselves are cast merely as its conscious linkages."

Gradually, in the century and a half since Marx wrote those words, machines have taken on more and more jobs previously done by humans. The 20th century political movements that attempted to make Karl Marx's ideas reality may have failed but, 200 years since the philosopher's birth on May 5, 1818, his analysis and foresights have repeatedly proven true. We are, in many ways, living in the world Marx predicted.

Marx showed that recurrent crises were not an accidental side effect of capitalism, but a necessary and inherent feature, explains Nick Nesbitt, Princeton University professor of French and Italian and editor of The Concept in Crisis: Reading Capital Today. "He shows that the source of value in capitalism is living labor. He also shows that capitalism nonetheless tends to eliminate living labor as a necessary dimension of its development," Nesbitt says. That contradiction means capitalism is never stable, but forever shifting in and out of crises: The system depends on human labor while simultaneously eradicating it.

And the stakes are high. Marx analyzed capitalism as a social system, rather than a purely economic one. "Humans and human relationships depend on our place within the system of capitalism itself," says Nesbitt. "If we don't find a place within the system as individuals and human beings then we live under exclusion." Capitalism doesn't just determine our source of income but how we relate to each other, our surroundings, and ourselves. To be rendered superfluous by the system is damning to social wellbeing as well as economic livelihood.

The thinker was not only right about the rise of automation. He also predicted globalization and the rising inequality of today, notes Gould. "He was correct that the gap between labor and capital would get worse," she says. Marx predicted that capitalism would lead to "poverty in the midst of plenty," a scenario that's depressingly familiar today. "HUD [US department of housing and urban development] estimates there are roughly half a million homeless people in the United States on any given night, in a country that is estimated to have roughly 18 million empty homes in it," says Wills.

Meanwhile, as Harvard Business Review points out, contemporary society is characterized by a sense of alienation among workers distanced from the output of their labor, and the fetishization of commodities-both predicted by Marx.

Wills believes the revolutions described by Marx could one day transpire, though not soon. "Among many necessary factors, working class people in the most economically developed nations would need to develop greater political independence from the capitalist classes in those countries," she writes. "We would also need to see the emergence of more principled anti-imperialist politics that oppose war and racism, and promote solidarity among working people of all nations."  But there's little indication of what would be necessary to bring about such radical political changes.

Former British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher used the phrase "there is no alternative" to explain her commitment to the capitalist system. Thoroughly understanding capitalism, informed by Marx's piercing analysis, allows us to envisage potential alternatives.

There are still plenty of contemporary political movements that continue to reference Marx, with various degrees of accuracy. The Chinese government bequeathed a huge statue of Marx to his hometown in Germany in honor of his 200th anniversary; it's doubtful the thinker would have been as enthusiastic about the totalitarian state as it is of him. The economist and former Greek minister of finance Yanis Varoufakis recently wrote a compelling new introduction to "The Communist Manifesto," detailing why Marx is so essential if we want to reckon with the growing gap between the rich and the poor. Meanwhile, workers across the world held aloft images of Marx on May 1, international Labor Day; his work is still the crucial reference point for those protesting the injustices of capitalism and demanding change to benefit the 99%.

--- BBC

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